A study of climate projections in the Czech Republic

In Central Europe, in connection with climate change, we can expect a decrease in summer precipitation and a slight increase in winter precipitation, an increase in air temperature in summer and autumn higher than in winter and spring. Projections for the end of the 21st century also indicate a higher likelihood of dry summers, higher precipitation totals in the cool half of the year, and extremely hot summer temperatures.

Researchers within the SEEPIA project carried out a study in which they compared the development of climate change in the Czech Republic based on the results of two generations of climate models (CMIP5 and CMIP6) and focused on evaluating the uncertainties of these models. In the study, they monitored the expected development of temperatures and precipitation, specifically the development of monthly average daily temperatures and interannual changes in the average monthly minimum, average and maximum daily air temperature and monthly average precipitation. The results show that when creating climate change scenarios for the Central European region, attention should be paid to the uncertainty represented by differences between models and scenario uncertainty, but also to the influence of internal climate variability.

The results of the study were published in a professional journal. Full article here.

Holtanová E, Belda M and Halenka T (2022) Projected changes in mean annual cycle of temperature and precipitation over the Czech Republic: Comparison of CMIP5 and CMIP6. Front. Earth Sci. 10:1018661. doi: 10.3389/feart.2022.1018661